Expected Results

Based on background knowledge, this analysis focuses on the prediction of two key factors influencing future precipitation changes. The thermodynamic component, representing atmospheric humidity and the dynamic component, representing atmospheric wind.

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First, it is strongly predicted that the maximum amount of water vapor the atmosphere can hold will increase as a direct result of rising global mean temperatures. Since there will be a larger capacity for air to hold water vapor, the actual amount of moisture available in the air masses will increase.

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Second, our prediction for the dynamic component is that the Western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH) will strengthen and extend northwards to South Korea, which will result in an intensified and prolonged changma over the peninsula.

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Overall, we can predict an increase in the Changma rainfall.